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Hybrid multi-step fractional numerical schemes for human-wildlife zoonotic disease dynamics
AIMS Mathematics 2025, 10(9): 21126-21158
Published: 15 September 2025
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In this study, the transmission dynamics of zoonotic diseases between baboons and humans were explored by examining increased interactions between humans and wild animals. We established the model's well-posedness through proofs of existence, uniqueness, non-negativity, and boundedness of solutions. Stability and sensitivity analyses identified key parameters affecting disease dynamics, particularly the baboon-to-human transmission rate ( β h ), the human recovery rate ( γ h ), and the human-side contact control parameter ( H i ). The basic reproduction number ( R 0 ) governed disease outcomes: If R 0 < 1, the disease died out and the infection-free equilibrium was globally asymptotically stable; if R 0 > 1, a unique endemic equilibrium emerged and was locally asymptotically stable, indicating the potential for disease persistence. Numerical simulations were conducted using the Multi-Step Generalized Differential Transform Method and the Adams-Bashforth-Moulton scheme, confirming the model's biological relevance. Our results indicated that sterilization reduced infected baboons by up to 40%, while food access restrictions lowered human infections by approximately 25%. By leveraging fractional calculus and advanced numerical methods, this study provides a robust framework for modeling zoonotic diseases and offers actionable insights for public health and wildlife management.

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