Accurate demand prediction for bike-sharing demand helps relevant authorities make informed decisions on bike placement and advance scheduling. However, most studies focus only on one specific spatial scale, thus ignoring the inter-scale synergy improvement on prediction performance. Meanwhile, the evaluation strategies through the prediction errors fail to account for the contribution of each feature to the model performance and limit the interpretability. To address these issues, we proposed an Interpretable Multi-scale framework for bike-sharing Demand Prediction (IMDP). This framework utilizes three typical scales, site scale, area scale, and global scale, to portray different but complementary knowledge on bike-sharing demands. An integrated fusion module is designed to extract and conform the spatiotemporal dependencies of each scale. Finally, a feature impact analysis strategy based on the model interpretable technique SHAP is designed to quantify and compare the feature contribution to the prediction results. Experiments on real datasets demonstrated that multi-scale information fusion improves the prediction performance and our proposed framework outperformed baselines in accuracy and interpretability. The proposed framework provides a paradigm for enhancing prediction using multi-scale spatial information and helps promote the sustainable development of urban transportation systems.

Hydro-Morphological Processes (HMP, any natural phenomenon contained within the spectrum defined between debris flows and flash floods) are most likely to occur in small catchments, especially buffer zones along or near rivers. Rivers transfer matter and energy between hydrographic units, thus potentially affecting the occurrence of HMPs in nearby catchments. To date, previous HMP susceptibility studies based on data-driven modeling lacked taking into account these interactions between catchments. In this work, we fully considered the role played by river topology and developed a Topology-based HMP susceptibility model (Topo-HMPSM) to emulate the interactions between catchments and predict the susceptibility of HMPs for the Yangtze River Basin during 1985–2015. Results confirmed that our proposed model outperforms four selected baseline models with the best F1-score (mean = 0.744, best = 0.756) and relatively lower uncertainties. A graph-based deep neural network improves the predictive and interpretability of HMP susceptibility modeling using embedding learning techniques. This work attempts to set a standard for incorporating river topology into deep learning models. Our findings highlight the importance of river topology in predicting HMP and support better informed hazard mitigation strategies.

Spatial synergy is strengthened integration and connection between cities in a mega-city region, transcending administrative boundaries. The central flow theory suggests that the mega-city regions are formed by the interconnected flows of people across cities, making the spatial synergy can be measured by assessing the aggregation and intensity of flows and interactions between cities and regions. Human mobility data, such as mobile phone data and social media check-ins, enable the tracking of human movements, thus facilitating the transition of central flow theory from theoretical constructs to empirical research. To this end, this study presents an alternative data-driven framework to reveal the multi-scale spatial synergy of mega-city regions from a human mobility perspective. It uncovers homogeneously spatial communities with high inter-city integration using community detection. Strong internal spatial connections of 2.13 billion mobility are filtered using network backbone extraction. An experiment in the Pearl River Delta (PRD), China, demonstrates a multi-scale and multi-core hierarchical spatial synergy in the PRD region. The detailed findings are as follows: (1) Three cities attract the majority of human mobility. Mobility distance is short in urban centers and long in suburban areas. (2) The spatial integration pattern shows the detected communities reveal the hierarchical integration pattern with three main integrated regions: Guangzhou-Foshan-Zhaoqing, Shenzhen-Dongguan-Huizhou, and Zhuhai-Zhongshan-Jiangmen. (3) The spatial connection pattern illustrates the close ties of 9 cities and three core cities, including Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Foshan. These results provide a human-centric understanding of urban synergy and deeper insights into central flow theory, which supports cooperative development in mega-city regions.