Gas leakage and explosion accidents pose a serious threat to public safety. A critical prerequisite for accurately predicting the explosive effects of combustible gas leakage lies in determining the concentration distribution following the leakage. To develop a real-time, full-field spatiotemporal prediction model for combustible gas leakage and diffusion, and to achieve efficient prediction of the equivalent gas cloud volume, a novel graph neural network model based on a dual-neural-network architecture and a multi-stage training strategy, named multi-stage dual graph neural network (MSDGNN), was proposed. The MSDGNN model consists of two synergistic sub-networks: (1) a concentration network (Ncon), which establishes the mapping relationship between the concentration fields of two consecutive timesteps, and (2) a volume network (Nvol), which generates the equivalent gas cloud volume at each timestep to provide a quantitative metric for explosion risk assessment. To further enhance model performance, a multi-stage progressive training strategy was developed to jointly optimize the dual networks. Experimental results demonstrate that compared with mesh-based graph network (MGN), the dual-network architecture effectively decouples the tasks of concentration field prediction and equivalent gas cloud volume prediction. This approach significantly mitigates the interference of weight factors in single-objective loss functions during the training process. The multi-stage training strategy, through stepwise parameter optimization, addresses the issue of insufficient data fitting encountered in traditional methods, significantly reducing the mean absolute percentage error
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Open Access
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Explosion and Shock Waves 2026, 46(5)
Published: 05 May 2026
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