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Asymptotic theory for QMLE for power-transformed asymmetric double autoregressive models
AIMS Mathematics 2025, 10(4): 9094-9121
Published: 15 April 2025
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To better capture asymmetry and heavy-tailedness, we have proposed a power-transformed asymmetric double autoregressive (PTADAR(p, q)) model. First we gave a sufficient condition for the existence of a strict stationarity solution of the PTADAR(p, q) model. Then we studied the quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE) of the model, and proved the consistency and asymptotic normality for the QMLE estimator. We set the power parameter δ > 0, which includes δ = 1 , 2, and in empirical application, the power parameter δ > 0 may be unknown. This could overcome the shortcomings of the double autoregressive (DAR(p, q)) model and asymmetry linear double autoregressive model, where the power parameter is only limited to 2 or 1. Based on QMLE, we proposed Akaike's information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) for model selection. Illustrations and an empirical example show our model's usefulness, and we also compared it with other models.

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