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Application of LAPM and ABM methods to a fractional SCIR model of pneumonia diseases
AIMS Mathematics 2025, 10(11): 25667-25707
Published: 06 November 2025
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We develop a fractional SCIR (susceptible-carrier-infected-recovered) model for pneumococcal pneumonia using Caputo derivatives of order 0 < ϱ 1 to capture memory effects from long carriage, waning immunity, and reinfection. The force of infection explicitly accounts for carriers' transmissibility. Using a next-generation approach, we derive the basic reproduction number R 0 and prove the global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium when R 0 < 1 and of the endemic equilibrium when R 0 > 1 via Lyapunov functionals and a fractional LaSalle principle. Numerically, we combine the Laplace-Adomian-Padé method (LAPM) with a fractional Adams-Bashforth-Moulton scheme (ABM) to capture memory-driven transients. A sensitivity analysis identifies transmission intensity and routing into carriage as the dominant epidemic drivers, while treatment and mortality exert mitigating effects. A control extension yields a closed-form, control-adjusted R 0 ; a minimal vaccination threshold; and an optimal control problem solved numerically. Finally, we outline a calibration workflow linking the model-predicted incidence to surveillance data, permitting a statistical estimation of the fractional order. Altogether, incorporating carriers and fractional memory modifies the thresholds and persistence conditions, producing dynamics that are more consistent with pneumococcal epidemiology.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Numerical simulation of a fractional glucose-insulin model via successive approximation and ABM schemes
AIMS Mathematics 2025, 10(10): 22817-22849
Published: 09 October 2025
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We developed a fractional-order glucose–insulin regulatory model in the Caputo sense to encode memory effects in metabolic dynamics. The three-equation nonlinear system employed component-wise fractional orders to represent heterogeneous memory depths across plasma glucose, insulin action, and secretion. We established well-posedness (existence, uniqueness), positivity, and boundedness, and assess local stability; oscillatory regimes were further examined via discrete-time Hopf conditions for the discretized dynamics. For computation, we implement the successive approximation method (SAM) and a fractional Adams–Bashforth–Moulton (ABM) predictor–corrector scheme. In head-to-head tests, ABM achieved lower residuals, better stability, and higher efficiency than SAM, with validation against frequently sampled intravenous glucose tolerance test (FSIGT) data and a global sensitivity analysis highlighting insulin responsiveness and glucose-threshold parameters as most influential. Residual analysis indicated that increasing the fractional order(s) toward the integer case reduced numerical error—for example, the representative state error | Δ u | decreased from 129.6 at ν = 0.5 to 34.1 at ν = 0.9. These results supported the clinical relevance of fractional-order modeling for improved diabetes management, parameter tuning, and control strategy design.

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