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Impacts of Climate Warming on the Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Agro-Climatic Boundaries
Scientia Agricultura Sinica 2026, 59(10): 2138-2153
Published: 16 May 2026
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Objective

This study aimed to elucidate the spatiotemporal evolution patterns of agroclimatic boundaries under climate warming and their impacts on grain yield, thereby providing a scientific basis for optimizing agricultural layouts and formulating climate change adaptation strategies.

Method

Using meteorological data from 495 national stations in China (1961-2020), the spatiotemporal changes of major agroclimatic boundaries before and after climate abrupt changes were explored, including the January 0 ℃ isotherm, ≥10 ℃ accumulated temperature isopleth of 4500 ℃, and 200, 400, and 800 mm precipitation isopleths, via methods such as Mann-Kendall change-point detection and contribution rate analysis. Their migration patterns and quantified their contribution rates to grain yield per unit area were further characterized.

Result

(1) Abrupt changes were detected in the national average January temperature in 1987, the ≥10 ℃ accumulated temperature in 2002, and precipitation in 2015, with post-change increases of 0.96 ℃, 251.19 ℃, and 53.58 mm, respectively. (2) Following the abrupt change in January mean temperature, the 0 ℃ isotherm shifted northward overall. Its eastern segment (Shaanxi, Henan, Anhui, Jiangsu, and Shandong) exhibited significant fluctuations with a northward migration amplitude of 1.5° latitude. (3) After the abrupt change in ≥10 ℃ accumulated temperature, the 4500 ℃ accumulated temperature isopleth expanded northward, with its eastern segment (Shaanxi, Hebei, and Shandong) showing pronounced northward migration. The northernmost boundary shifted from central Hebei Province (38.9 °N) pre-mutation to traversing the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region (39.7 °N) post-mutation, while the western segment (Xinjiang and Gansu) showed gentle changes. (4) Precipitation isohyets exhibited a northward and westward migration trend in some regions: the 200 mm precipitation isopleth extended westward by approximately 3.0° longitude in Inner Mongolia, shrinking arid areas; the 400 mm precipitation isopleth shifted northward by about 5.5° latitude in Inner Mongolia, expanding semi-humid regions northward; and the 800 mm precipitation isopleth moved northward by around 2.5° latitude in Sichuan Province, expanding humid regions northward. (5) The contribution rates of ≥10 ℃ accumulated temperature and precipitation to meteorological grain yield per unit area increased after the abrupt change, with precipitation showing the highest contribution rate of 27.10%, while the contribution rate of January mean temperature decreased post-mutation.

Conclusion

After the abrupt change driven by climate warming, China's January 0 ℃ isotherm and the ≥10 ℃ accumulated temperature isopleth of 4500 ℃ have shifted northward overall, with the segment east of Shaanxi Province being particularly pronounced. The 200 and 400 mm precipitation isohyets have shifted northward and westward in the Inner Mongolia region after the abrupt change. The 800 mm precipitation isohyet has moved southward in Nanyang (Henan) and Bozhou (Anhui), while the remaining segments have shifted northward, among which the segment in central Sichuan Province showed a significant northward migration (by approximately 2.5° latitude). In the fluctuation zones of agroclimatic boundaries, changes in hydrothermal conditions have promoted an increase in grain yield per unit area.

Open Access Research paper Issue
Layered nitrogen application increases post-anthesis nutrient accumulation and grain yield of wheat by coordinating root morphology and nutrient transporter gene expression
The Crop Journal 2026, 14(3): 997-1007
Published: 12 January 2026
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Layered nitrogen (N) application to wheat is intended to avert nutrient retention in the topsoil, which limits deep root development and grain yield. In a two-year field experiment on the Loess Plateau comparing two N treatments: 240 kg N ha−1 applied at the 8-cm soil depth or in a 1:2:1 ratio to the 8-, 16-, and 24-cm soil layers, the layered treatment increased grain yield, post-anthesis N accumulation, phosphorus (P) accumulation, root biomass, and soil organic carbon and available P in the 8−24 cm layers. It also upregulated N and P transporter genes in roots across different soil layers. Layered N application optimized the vertical nutrient distribution in the wheat root zone, induced adaptive root architectural development, and activated the transcriptional regulatory network of nutrient uptake, which peomoted post-anthesis nutrient assimilation and ultimately improving grain yield.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Productivity and economic benefits of winter wheat in Northwest China by optimizing irrigation and planting density
Journal of Integrative Agriculture (JIA) 2026, 25(5): 1871-1886
Published: 05 July 2025
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Winter wheat is a key staple crop in Northwest China, yet optimizing its productivity and economic returns remains a challenge due to water constraints and suboptimal planting densities. This study evaluates the combined effects of irrigation strategies and planting density (PD) on winter wheat yield, resource-use efficiency, and net economic benefits (NEB). A two-year field experiment was conducted under four irrigation treatments (I1, no irrigation; I2, before winter and jointing; I3, jointing; I4, jointing and anthesis) and three PD treatments (PD1, 562.5×104 plants ha–1; PD2, 375 ×104 plants ha–1; PD3, 187.5×104 plants ha–1). Through field trials, we identified optimal water-saving irrigation regimes and planting densities that maximize grain yield while enhancing water productivity. Our results demonstrated that lower PD (187.5×104 plants ha–1) under reduced irrigation significantly improved dry matter accumulation (DMA), SPAD, and leaf area index (LAI), leading to higher grain yield. Moderate irrigation at the jointing stage (I3) enhanced grain yield in higher planting densities by up to 18.42% compared to other irrigation regimes, while the highest overall yield (6,310 kg ha–1) was achieved in medium PD under the I3 irrigation. Water-use efficiency (WUE) was significantly improved by reducing irrigation at specific growth stages, mitigating excessive evapotranspiration. PD3–I3 achieved the highest NEB, exceeding I1, I2, and I4 by 11.9, 18.4, and 16.4%, respectively, in 2022–2023 and by 15.1, 14.0, and 8.4%, respectively, in 2023–2024. The findings provide practical insights for sustainable wheat production, ensuring higher profitability while conserving water resources. Implementing optimized irrigation and PD strategies offers a strategic pathway to improving food security and farm income in the semi-arid regions of Northwest China.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Nitrogen redistribution during the grain-filling stage and its correlation with senescence and TaATG8 expression in leaves of winter wheat
Journal of Integrative Agriculture (JIA) 2026, 25(4): 1433-1442
Published: 24 December 2024
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Nitrogen is a key nutrient for wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) growth and yield, particularly during the grain-filling stage, where most nitrogen is redistributed from vegetative organs to the grain, significantly influencing yield. However, it remains unclear during which period the nitrogen translocation from the vegetative phase to grain maturation occurs and how it correlates with flag leaf senescence. In this study, a field experiment was conducted using the winter wheat cultivar ‘Xinong 511’ under two nitrogen fertilizer treatments: regular nitrogen supply (240 kg ha–1 (N240)) and no nitrogen supply (0 kg ha–1 (N0)). The results revealed that nitrogen accumulation in wheat flag leaves peaked at 7–14 days, with a nitrogen content 4.55%, after which nitrogen was redistributed to the grains. Nitrogen content in flag leaves decreased by 56% during 21–35 days, while that in the grains increased by 51%. The plant analysis development value (relative chlorophyll content), photosynthetic rate, free amino acid concentration, and soluble protein content in flag leaves peaked at 7–14 days, indicating nitrogen transportation from the flag leaves to the grains. Nitrogen application significantly increased the nitrogen remobilization rate in flag leaves by 20% compared with that of N0, reduced reactive oxygen species accumulation by 21%, and delayed flag leaf senescence. Under nitrogen deficiency, autophagy was induced earlier, with a 5–7-fold increase in the expression of autophagy-related genes (TaATG8), suggesting that regulation of the autophagy pathway and enhancement of autophagy activity can optimize nitrogen fertilization. Our study demonstrates that the remobilization of nitrogen from vegetative parts to grains initiates leaf senescence and is closely correlated with the expression of autophagy-related genes.

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