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Mathematical and numerical analysis of a SEVIR-S model for adenovirus with immunity waning and reinfection effects
AIMS Mathematics 2025, 10(7): 16291-16316
Published: 15 July 2025
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In this study, we proposed a modified SEVIR-S (susceptible, exposed, vaccinated, infected, recovered) model for the transmission dynamics of adenovirus by incorporating the effects of immunity waning and reinfection. Unlike the classical SEVIR framework, the extended model accounted for the possibility that recovered individuals may lose immunity over time and become susceptible again — a critical feature for accurately modeling diseases like adenovirus. To better capture the disease's memory effects and temporal dynamics, the model used the fractal-fractional Caputo-Fabrizio derivative with a power-law kernel. The paper analyzed the model's existence and stability using fixed point theory and Hyers-Ulam (H-U) stability. Furthermore, both the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points and their stability were analyzed. Also, the basic reproduction number was provided. The findings were validated through numerical simulations using an extended Adams-Bashforth method.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Optimal control of pandemic dynamics using a piecewise fractional order SVIR model
AIMS Mathematics 2025, 10(9): 20947-20978
Published: 12 September 2025
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Modeling the long-term dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic is challenged by evolving public behavior and interventions. We propose a novel piecewise fractional-order (SVIR) model incorporating vaccination and education controls. The model uniquely employs a classical derivative for the initial, memoryless phase of the epidemic. It then transitions to a Caputo-Fabrizio fractional derivative to capture long-term collective memory effects on transmission. We establish the model's mathematical well-posedness and derive the basic reproduction number ( R 0 ). Under our baseline parameterization, the reproduction number is R 0 4.95. An optimal control problem is formulated to determine the ideal implementation of time-varying vaccination and education. Numerical simulations validate the distinct crossover dynamics produced by our piecewise approach. Results demonstrate that a synergistic strategy combining vaccination and education is highly effective, reducing the peak of infected individuals by over 90% compared to the uncontrolled scenario, and significantly outperforms isolated interventions. This study offers a flexible tool for understanding and controlling epidemics.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Modeling adenovirus transmission dynamics using a SEVAIR framework with asymptomatic and vaccinated classes
AIMS Mathematics 2025, 10(10): 23235-23260
Published: 14 October 2025
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In this work, we extended the classical Susceptible–Exposed–Vaccinated–Infected–Recovered (SEVIR) framework by incorporating an asymptomatic class, leading to the formulation of a new Susceptible–Exposed–Vaccinated–Asymptomatic–Infected–Recovered (SEVAIR) model that more accurately reflects the transmission characteristics of adenovirus. To account for memory effects and capture complex temporal behavior, the model was developed using the fractal-fractional Caputo-Fabrizio derivative with a power-law kernel. Existence and stability of solutions based on fixed point theory and Hyers-Ulam stability criteria were derived. Both the disease-free and endemic equilibrium states were derived, and their local stability properties were examined. Additionally, the basic reproduction number was computed to understand the disease's spread threshold. The theoretical results were supported by numerical simulations, which were performed using a modified Adams-Bashforth approach tailored for the fractional framework.

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