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Open Access Research Article Issue
Sensitivity analysis of cassava mosaic disease with saturation incidence rate model
AIMS Mathematics 2023, 8(3): 6233-6254
Published: 15 March 2023
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Cassava mosaic disease (CMD) is caused by a virus transmitted by the whitefly. This disease can destroy cassava at any stage of its growth and it resulted in lower cassava yields. In this paper, we developed a mathematical model for the epidemic of cassava mosaic disease with a deterministic model which has saturation incidence rates. This model aims to explain the effect of vectors on cassava disease outbreaks. First, this model was analyzed using standard dynamic methods to determine the behavior of the solution. We found the existence and condition of disease-free and endemic steady state. The basic reproductive number ( R 0 ) is obtained by using the next-generation method which R 0 helps assess the ability to spread infectious diseases. Second, the stability of the steady state was analyzed, then we obtain the condition of existence of local stability and global stability at each steady state of this model. Third, analysis of the sensitivity indices in the threshold number to determine the effect of the various parameters. Finally, the results of the theoretical model were validated by numerical simulations. It is represented by various graphs converging at a steady state and stable.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Existence theory and numerical solution of leptospirosis disease model via exponential decay law
AIMS Mathematics 2022, 7(5): 8822-8846
Published: 15 May 2022
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We investigated the leptospirosis epidemic model by using Caputo and Fabrizio fractional derivatives. Picard's successive iterative method and Sumudu transform are taken into consideration for developing the iterative solutions for the leptospirosis disease. Employing nonlinear functional analysis, the stability and uniqueness of the proposed model are established. Sensitivity analysis is taken into account to highlight the most sensitive parameters corresponding to the basic reproductive number. Various solutions to the proposed system have been interpolated by graphs with the application of Matlab software.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Stability analysis and optimal control for leaf brown spot disease of rice
AIMS Mathematics 2023, 8(4): 9602-9623
Published: 15 April 2023
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Leaf brown spot, caused by fungi, is a terrible plant disease, and it can significantly reduce the quality and quantity of rice. In this paper, we developed the model based on leaf brown spot disease development and considered a preventive treatment using botanical fungicide. In addition, we develop a model with suitable optimal control strategies. The result shows disease-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable when R 0 > 1. In contrast, the endemic equilibrium is asymptotically stable when R 0 > 1. The obtained optimal control to can reduce the number of infected plants compared to that without control. In addition, the analytical results were confirmed by numerical simulations of the occurrence of the theoretical results.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Fractional-order dynamics of Chagas-HIV epidemic model with different fractional operators
AIMS Mathematics 2022, 7(10): 18897-18924
Published: 15 October 2022
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In this research, we reformulate and analyze a co-infection model consisting of Chagas and HIV epidemics. The basic reproduction number R 0 of the proposed model is established along with the feasible region and disease-free equilibrium point E 0 . We prove that E 0 is locally asymptotically stable when R 0 is less than one. Then, the model is fractionalized by using some important fractional derivatives in the Caputo sense. The analysis of the existence and uniqueness of the solution along with Ulam-Hyers stability is established. Finally, we solve the proposed epidemic model by using a novel numerical scheme, which is generated by Newton polynomials. The given model is numerically solved by considering some other fractional derivatives like Caputo, Caputo-Fabrizio and fractal-fractional with power law, exponential decay and Mittag-Leffler kernels.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Fractional modeling of COVID-19 pandemic model with real data from Pakistan under the ABC operator
AIMS Mathematics 2022, 7(9): 15939-15964
Published: 15 September 2022
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In this study, the COVID-19 epidemic model is established by incorporating quarantine and isolation compartments with Mittag-Leffler kernel. The existence and uniqueness of the solutions for the proposed fractional model are obtained. The basic reproduction number, equilibrium points, and stability analysis of the COVID-19 model are derived. Sensitivity analysis is carried out to elaborate the influential parameters upon basic reproduction number. It is obtained that the disease transmission parameter is the most dominant parameter upon basic reproduction number. A convergent iterative scheme is taken into account to simulate the dynamical behavior of the system. We estimate the values of variables with the help of the least square curve fitting tool for the COVID-19 cases in Pakistan from 04 March to May 10, 2020, by using MATLAB.

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