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A prediction model for stock market based on the integration of independent component analysis and Multi-LSTM
Electronic Research Archive 2022, 30(10): 3855-3871
Published: 15 October 2022
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In this paper, we investigate the statistical behaviors of the stock market complex network. A hybrid model is proposed to predict the variations of five stock prices in the securities plate sub-network. This model integrates independent component analysis (ICA) and multivariate long short-term memory (Multi-LSTM) neural network to analyze the trading noise and improve the prediction accuracy of stock prices in the sub-network. Firstly, we apply ICA to deconstruct the original dataset and remove the independent components that represent the trading noise. Secondly, the rest of the independent components are given to Multi-LSTM neural network. Finally, prediction results are reconstructed from the outputs of the Multi-LSTM neural network and the corresponding mixing matrix. The experiment results indicate that the hybrid model outperforms the benchmark approaches, especially in terms of the stock market complex network.

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