Publications
Sort:
Open Access Research Article Issue
Application and analysis of a model with environmental transmission in a periodic environment
Electronic Research Archive 2023, 31(9): 5815-5844
Published: 15 September 2023
Abstract PDF (1.7 MB) Collect
Downloads:0

The goal of this paper is to introduce a non-autonomous environmental transmission model for most respiratory and enteric infectious diseases to study the impact of periodic environmental changes on related infectious diseases. The transmission and decay rates of pathogens in the environment are set as periodic functions to summarize the influence of environmental fluctuations on diseases. The solutions of the model are qualitatively analyzed, and the equilibrium points and the reference criterion, R 0 , for judging the infectivity of infectious diseases are deduced. The global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the uniform persistence of the disease are proved by using the persistence theory. Common infectious diseases such as COVID-19, influenza, dysentery, pertussis and tuberculosis are selected to fit periodic and non-periodic models. Fitting experiments show that the periodic environmental model can respond to epidemic fluctuations more accurately than the non-periodic model. The periodic environment model is reasonable and applicable for seasonal infectious diseases. The response effects of the periodic and non-periodic models are basically the same for perennial infectious diseases. The periodic model can inform epidemiological trends in relevant emerging infectious diseases. Taking COVID-19 as an example, the sensitivity analysis results show that the virus-related parameters in the periodic model have the most significant influence on the system. It reminds us that, even late in the pandemic, we must focus on the viral load on the environment.

Open Access Research Article Issue
Chaotic behavior and controlling chaos in a fast-slow plankton-fish model
AIMS Mathematics 2024, 9(6): 14376-14404
Published: 19 April 2024
Abstract PDF (16.7 MB) Collect
Downloads:10

The interaction of different time scales in predator-prey models has become a common research topic. In the present article, we concentrated on the dynamics of interactions at two time scales in a plankton-fish system. To investigate the effects of the two time scales on plankton-fish dynamics, we constructed a new parameter with a corrected type that differs from the traditional slow parameter. In addition, zooplankton's refuge from the predator and phytoplankton mortality due to competition are incorporated into the model. Positivity and boundedness of solutions were proved. We then discussed feasibility and stability conditions of the equilibrium. We used a variety of means to support the existence of chaos in the system. Hopf bifurcation conditions were also obtained. Chaos control in the plankton-fish model is one of the main motivations for this study. In the slow-variable parameter case, we explored the control mechanism of gestation delay on chaotic systems, which are calmed by different periodic solutions. Moreover, under seasonal mechanisms, external driving forces can stabilize the system from chaos to periodic oscillations. Meanwhile, the sliding mode control (SMC) approach quickly calms chaotic oscillations and stabilizes it to an internal equilibrium state. The necessary numerical simulation experiments support the theoretical results.

Total 2