Nitrogen is one of the most essential elements for the growth and development of winter wheat. Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery can be expected to accurately predict the nitrogen content in winter wheat plants, due to the spectrum and texture with the ultra-high resolution. However, too many variables have resulted in the parameters redundancy and the complex structure of model. Therefore, it is very necessary to screen the model-sensitive variables for the high accuracy, in order to improve the computational efficiency of the simple model. In this study, a multi-level filtering of sensitive feature was proposed, namely, "correlation analysis + covariance analysis + LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) feature screening", which introduced L1 regularization of the constraint coefficient vectors to achieve sparsity of the features, and reduced the coefficients of some features to zero. A total of 65 feature variables were obtained using the spectral and texture information that extracted from the UAV images of winter wheat during the critical growth stages (jointing, booting, flowering, and filling stages). 65 feature variables were firstly correlated with the nitrogen content of the plant. 51 feature variables were retained to pass the 0.01 level of significance. After collinearity analysis, the LASSO was introduced to filter the feature variables, in order to eliminate the collinearity among the feature variables. Back-propagation (BP) neural network, adaboost, random forest (RF) and linear regression (LR) were used to predict the nitrogen content of winter wheat plants. Once the value of LASSO regularization parameter λ was 0.08, 17 sensitive feature variables were screened. The predictive models were then established for the plant nitrogen content. All BP, Adaboost, RF, and LR reached the significant differences at the 0.01 level. The accuracies of BP, Adaboost, and RF were well consistent with the model R2 of 0.81 and the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 0.36%, 0.38%, and 0.37%, respectively. The R2 and RMSE were evaluated on the training, cross-validation, and test models without screening LASSO feature variables. There was the increase R2 value of the 51-variable training dataset, compared with 17 variables. The R2 values varied significantly in the cross-validation dataset. Specifically, the R2 values of RF and LR models decreased, Adaboost remained stable, and LR increased, indicating the better performance without more variables. Since the model variables were reduced by 2/3 after LASSO feature screening, there was the limited impact on the prediction accuracy of plant nitrogen content. In summary, the 17 variables of sensitive feature can be used to predict the plant nitrogen content after LASSO feature screening using machine learning, according to the timeliness of training and the requirement of computing power. The prediction models with RF and Adaboosts were achieved in the higher accuracy of plant nitrogen content. Therefore, the less variables can be feasible with the limited computing power, when performing the prediction model of crop growth parameters. More importantly, the sensitive feature variables can be selected to best characterize the crop growth parameters, indicating the concise, convenient, efficient, robust and highly usable model. The multi-level screening of sensitive feature can provide the practical support to the nitrogen precision monitoring and management in smart agriculture.
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Accurate monitoring and rational application of nitrogen are particularly important for healthy growth, yield and quality improvement of wheat, and reduction of environmental pollution and resource waste. The purpose of this study was to develop UAV-based models for accurately and effectively assessment of the plant nitrogen content in the key growth stages of wheat growth, and to explore the transferability of the models constructed based on machine learning methods.
Winter wheat experiment were conducted from 2020 to 2022 in Shangshui county, Henan province, China. Based on the K6 multichannel imager mounted on DJM600 UAV, 5-band (Red, Green, Blue, Rededge, and Nir) multispectral images were obtained from a UAV system in the stages of jointing, booting, flowering and filling in winter wheat, to calculate 20 vegetation indices and 40 texture features from different band combinations. Correlation analysis was used to screen the sensitive characteristics of nitrogen content in winter wheat plants from the 65 image features. Combining the sensitive spectral features and texture features of the nitrogen content of winter wheat plants, BP neural network (BP), random forest (RF), Adaboost, and support vector machine (SVR) machine learning regression methods were used to build plant nitrogen content models, and compared for the model performance and transferability.
(1)The correlation coefficients between plant nitrogen content and image features passed the test of 0.01 extremely significant level, including 22 spectral features and 29 texture features. (2) 51 spectral and texture features were adopted to build four machine learning models. The estimates of plant nitrogen by the RF and Adaboost methods were relatively concentrated, mostly close to the 1:1 line; while the estimations from the BP and SVR methods were relatively scattered. The RF method was the best, with R2, RMSE, and MAE of 0.81, 0.42%, and 0.29%, respectively; The SVR method was the worst, with R2, RMSE, and MAE of 0.66, 0.54% and 0.40%, respectively. (3) The prediction effects of the four methods on the nitrogen content of W0 and W1 treatments trained using W1 and W0 treatments were the same as those trained using both W0 and W1 datasets, both of which were closer to the 1:1 line for the RF and Adaboost methods. The R2 of transfer prediction results for the models constructed by BP, RF, Adaboost, and SVR methods were 0.75, 0.72, 0.72, and 0.66 for the prediction of nitrogen content in W0 treatment and 0.51, 0.69, 0.61 (trained using data under W1 treatment) and 0.45 for the prediction under W1 treatment (trained using data under W0 treatment), respectively.
All models showed strong transferability, especially the RF and Adaboost methods, in predicting winter wheat nitrogen content under rainfed and irrigation water management.
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