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Open Access Article Issue
Comparative and analysis study of pool fire radiant heat models under different view factor calculations
Emergency Management Science and Technology 2024, 4: e003
Published: 25 March 2024
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According to the provisions on fire separation distance between industrial and civil buildings in the latest 'General Code for Fire Protection of Buildings and Constructions' (GB 55037-2022). Radiant heat intensity is one of the main factors in calculating the fire separation distance between buildings. Therefore, the design process involves a lot of calculation of radiant heat intensity. This paper mainly studies the prediction model of radiant heat flux. Three different view factor calculation models, Mudan, Mudan-Sparrow, and Rai-Kalelkar, are used to evaluate the influence of key factors such as the diameter of the pool and the distance between the target and the center point of the liquid pool on the calculation results of radiant heat flux. The results show that when it came to estimating the radiant heat flux, the Mudan and Mudan-Sparrow models yielded comparable results. The calculation of the Rai-Kalelkar model shows that the radiant heat flux is about half of the heat flux in the first two models. When calculating the minimum fire separation distance for combustible liquid storage tanks with a fire dike, the results show that all three models can provide a larger safety margin than the point source model.

Open Access Article Issue
Quantifying the influence of corrosion defects on the failure prediction of natural gas pipelines using generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) model and Copula function with a case study
Emergency Management Science and Technology 2024, 4: e002
Published: 21 March 2024
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Downloads:24

Since the corrosion defects in gas pipelines have similar corrosion characteristics to the surrounding soil, the random growth of these defects may be correlated, so we can not simply treat the corrosion defects as completely correlated or independent. Therefore, this paper proposes a method that can accurately calculate the failure probability of the pipeline system considering the correlation of corrosion defects: using MATLAB software to fit the parameters of the GEV model to select an appropriate distribution model; using Monte Carlo simulation (MC), considering different correlation coefficients and quantities, the system failure probability of pipeline corrosion defects is calculated; the results show that the system failure probability of the pipeline and the correlation coefficient are basically linear; when the correlation coefficient is increasing, the pipeline is regarded as an independent. There is a large error between the calculated failure probability of the series system and the actual result; the system failure probability of the pipeline increases with the increase of the assumed number of corrosion defects. When the correlation coefficient is greater than or equal to 0.6, the system failure probability of the pipeline increases significantly. An increase and the system failure probability of the pipeline decreases significantly.

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