Ice melting in the atmosphere has far-reaching impacts on cloud microphysical properties, precipitation intensity and type. However, this issue remains largely unexplored in the Arctic. This study adopted the melting level (ML) as a metric to investigate the changes in atmospheric ice over the Arctic over 1979—2023. The results showed that the melting level height (MLH) rose by an average of 28.0 m per decade (p < 0.01) across the Arctic. The largest increase in MLH was observed in the North Atlantic and North Pacific sectors, as well as over the New Siberian Islands and their surrounding areas. Further analysis indicated that sea ice retreat played an essential role in the long-term trend of MLH during the freezing period, whereas the interannual variability of MLH was largely regulated by atmospheric rivers (ARs). Moreover, the atmospheric melting extent migrated poleward at a rate of 53.9 km per decade (p < 0.01) and lay farther north than the surface 0 ℃ isotherm, which may lead to widespread freezing-rain events in high-latitude regions. With these changes in ML, the cloud properties and the different types of precipitation have been undergoing pronounced changes in the Arctic, which has had a profound impact on the local snow and ice processes and ecological environment.
- Article type
- Year
- Co-author
Open Access
Research Article
Issue
Temperature inversions are frequently observed in the boundary layer and lower troposphere of polar regions. Future variations of the low-level temperature inversions in these regions, especially the Antarctic, are still poorly understood. Due to the scarcity of observations in the Antarctic, reanalysis data and numerical simulations are often used in the study of Antarctic climate change. Based on ERA-Interim, ERA5, JRA-55, and NCEP–NCAR reanalysis products, this study examines temporal and spatial variations of Antarctic inversion depth in austral autumn and winter during 1979–2020. Deeper inversions are found to occur over the high plateau areas of the Antarctic continent. Based on the Mann–Kendall test, ERA-Interim and ERA5 data reveal that the Antarctic inversion depth in austral autumn and winter increased during 1992–2007, roughly maintained afterwards, and then significantly decreased since around 2016. The decrease trend is more obvious in the last two months of winter. Overall, JRA-55 better represents the spatial distribution of inversion depth, and ERA-Interim has better interannual variability. The Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESM-LE) 30-member simulations in 1979–2005 were first verified against JRA-55, showing reasonable consistency, and were then used to project the future changes of Antarctic low-level inversion depth over 2031–2050 under RCP8.5. The CESM-LE projection results reveal that the temperature inversion will shallow in the Antarctic at the end of the 21st century, and the decrease in depth in autumn will be more pronounced than that in winter. In particular, the temperature inversion will weaken over the ice-free ocean, while it will remain stable over the ice sheet, showing certain spatial heterogeneity and seasonal dependence on the underlying cryospheric surface conditions. In addition, the decrease of inversion depth is found closely linked with the reduction in sea ice, suggesting the strong effect of global warming on the thermal structure change of the Antarctic.
京公网安备11010802044758号