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Original Article Issue
Nomogram based on albumin-bilirubin grade to predict outcome of the patients with hepatitis C virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after microwave ablation
Cancer Biology & Medicine 2019, 16(4): 797-810
Published: 01 November 2019
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Objective

To construct a nomogram based on the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade to provide prognostic value for hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who underwent ultrasound-guided percutaneous microwave ablation (US-PMWA).

Methods

From April 2005 to January 2018, 183 treatment-naïve patients with 251 HCV-related HCCs according to the Milan criteria received US-PMWA subsequently. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared between groups classified by ALBI grade. Cox proportional hazard regression model based on risk factors for survival and recurrence was used to construct the nomogram.

Results

The cumulative OS rates at 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year were 97.7%, 73.6%, 54.5% and 34.5%, respectively. Stratified according to ALBI grade, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS in the ALBI grade 1 group and grade 2 group were 99.2%, 92.4%, 77.9% and 97.7%, 52.3%, 38.6%, respectively, with significant statistical difference (P < 0.001). No significant statistical difference was detected in the 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates in the ALBI grade 1 group and grade 2 group (P = 0.220). The major complication rate was 1.6%. Multivariate analysis results showed age, α-fetoprotein level, tumor number, platelet count, location, Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and ALBI grade were associated with OS, which generated the nomograms. Internal validation with 1000 bootstrapped sample sets had good concordance index of 0.769 (95%CI 0.699-0.839) in OS.

Conclusions

This nomogram based on ALBI grade was a visualization risk model, which could provide personalized prediction of long-term outcomes for HCV-related HCC patients after US-PMWA.

Open Access Original Article Issue
Microwave ablation vs. surgical resection for treatment naïve hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria: a follow-up of at least 5 years
Cancer Biology & Medicine 2022, 19(7): 1078-1088
Published: 30 September 2021
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Objective

Thermal ablation poses challenges in the surgical resection (SR) of small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and its therapeutic outcomes for larger lesions remain debated.

Methods

This retrospective study evaluated 729 patients with HCC meeting the Milan criteria, who were treated with curative SR or microwave ablation (MWA) between 2008 and 2014. Overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), disease-free survival (DFS), and local tumor progression (LTP) were compared after propensity score matching (PSM). Co-variates associated with OS, CSS, LTP, and DFS were identified. The risk of death and tumor progression were compared.

Results

During the median follow-up of 78.6 months, 253 patients were included in each group after PSM. For tumors ≤ 3.0 cm and 3.1-4.0 cm, MWA achieved comparable results in terms of OS, CSS, DFS, and LTP. For tumors 4.1-5.0 cm, MWA had lower OS, CSS, and DFS rates (all P < 0.05) than SR. Higher LTP rates were observed in the MWA group for tumors 4.1-5.0 cm, although the difference was not significant (P = 0.18). Complication rates (P = 0.41) were similar, but MWA led to less estimated blood loss (P < 0.01) and shorter postoperative hospitalization times (P < 0.01).

Conclusions

MWA achieved comparable long-term oncologic outcomes with SR for ≤ 4 cm HCC, with lower complication rates and faster recovery.

Open Access Original Article Issue
Cholecystectomy is associated with higher risk of recurrence after microwave ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis
Cancer Biology & Medicine 2020, 17(2): 478-491
Published: 15 May 2020
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Objective

To explore the association between cholecystectomy and the prognostic outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent microwave ablation (MWA).

Methods

Patients with HCC (n = 921) who underwent MWA were included and divided into cholecystectomy (n = 114) and non-cholecystectomy groups (n = 807). After propensity score matching (PSM) at a 1:2 ratio, overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were analyzed to compare prognostic outcomes between the cholecystectomy (n = 114) and non-cholecystectomy groups (n = 228). Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were performed to assess potential risk factors for OS and DFS. Major complications were also compared between the groups.

Results

After matching, no significant differences between groups were observed in baseline characteristics. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 96.5%, 82.1%, and 67.1% in the cholecystectomy group, and 97.4%, 85.2%, and 74.4% in the non-cholecystectomy group (P = 0.396); the 1-, 3-, and 5-year DFS rates were 58.4%, 34.5%, and 26.6% in the cholecystectomy group, and 73.6%, 44.7%, and 32.2% in the non-cholecystectomy group (P = 0.026), respectively. The intrahepatic distant recurrence rate in the cholecystectomy group was significantly higher than that in the non-cholecystectomy group (P = 0.026), and the local tumor recurrence and extrahepatic recurrence rates did not significantly differ between the groups (P = 0.609 and P = 0.879). Multivariate analysis revealed that cholecystectomy (HR = 1.364, 95% CI 1.023–1.819, P = 0.035), number of tumors (2 vs. 1: HR = 2.744, 95% CI 1.925–3.912, P < 0.001; 3 vs. 1: HR = 3.411, 95% CI 2.021–5.759, P < 0.001), and γ-GT levels (HR = 1.003, 95% CI 1.000–1.006, P < 0.024) were independent risk factors for DFS. The best γ-GT level cut-off value for predicting median DFS was 39.6 U/L (area under the curve = 0.600, P < 0.05). A positive correlation was observed between cholecystectomy and γ-GT level (r = 0.108, 95% CI −0.001–0.214, P = 0.047). Subgroup analysis showed that the DFS rates were significantly higher in the non-cholecystectomy group than the cholecystectomy group when γ-GT ≥39.6 U/L (P = 0.044). The 5-, 10-, 15-, 20-, and 25-year recurrence rates from the time of cholecystectomy were 2.63%, 21.93%, 42.11%, 58.77%, and 65.79%, respectively. A significant positive correlation was observed between cholecystectomy and the time from cholecystectomy to recurrence (r = 0.205, 95% CI 0.016–0.379, P = 0.029). There were no significant differences in complications between groups (P = 0.685).

Conclusions

Patients with HCC who underwent cholecystectomy were more likely to develop intrahepatic distant recurrence after MWA, an outcome probably associated with increased γ-GT levels. Moreover, the recurrence rates increased with time.

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