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Original Paper Issue
Possible Impact of Spring Soil Moisture Anomalies over the Indian Peninsula on the “Dragon Boat Water” in South China
Journal of Meteorological Research 2026, 40(3): 782-798
Published: 20 June 2026
Abstract Collect

The period surrounding the Dragon Boat Festival each year coincides with the most concentrated precipitation in the “pre-flood season in South China” and is thus termed “dragon boat water” (DBW, from 21 May to 20 June). While the effects of atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature (SST) have been widely explored, the mechanism of land surface forcing on the DBW in South China (SC) remains poorly understood. Therefore, based on observation and reanalysis data, this paper studies the effect of spring soil moisture (SM) over the Indian Peninsula (IP) on the DBW and the associated physical mechanism during 1992–2021. The results show that the leading mode of empirical orthogonal decomposition of precipitation during the DBW period in SC exhibits spatial coherence. Spring SM over the IP exhibits a significant positive correlation with the DBW. Spring wet soil over the IP can persist into the DBW period. This increases land surface evapotranspiration and latent heat flux, enhancing local convective activity in the middle and lower troposphere and leading to increased precipitation over the IP. The precipitation in the IP intensifies the South Asian high and extends it eastward by releasing condensational latent heat to heat the atmosphere. The thus stimulated circumglobal teleconnection like wave train causes the Northern Hemisphere to evolve into a zonal five wave structure in the upper troposphere, and SC is under the influence of the atmospheric wave activity center over East Asia. Concurrently, barotropic energy conversion over East Asia intensifies significantly, favoring the development of the quasi-barotropic structure; thereby, the western Pacific subtropical high intensifies and extends westward. Under the influence of the abnormal anticyclone over the Northwest Pacific, SC is controlled by the stronger southwesterly wind facilitating the transport of warm moisture from the South China Sea and the Bay of Bengal to SC. Significant ascending motion and stronger meridional wind are observed throughout the troposphere, conducive to more rainfall over SC during the DBW period. These results advance the understanding of climatic effects of spring SM anomalies over the IP, and provide guidance for improving the predictability of the DBW.

Original Paper Issue
Interdecadal Change of the Relationship between Early Summer Precipitation over Northeast China and Spring Land Surface Thermal Anomalies in West Asia
Journal of Meteorological Research 2024, 38(4): 720-732
Published: 21 March 2024
Abstract Collect

Recent studies have suggested a close relationship between early summer precipitation over Northeast China and spring land surface thermal anomalies in West Asia. However, is this relationship the same over the multidecadal timescale? This study aims to identify the long-term variation in this relationship and the accompanying atmospheric circulation anomalies by using singular value decomposition, correlation analysis, and linear regression based on the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) atmospheric data, ERA-Land reanalysis, and CN05 gridded observations during 1961–2020 (60 yr). It is found that an interdecadal transition of the relationship between the spring surface temperature/thermal anomalies in West Asia and early summer precipitation over Northeast China occurred around 1990, and the temperature–rainfall relationship intensified after 1990. Based on the Mann–Kendall test, the study period was divided into P1 (1961–1990) and P2 (1991–2020). Further analysis indicated significant differences in the corresponding atmospheric circulation before and after the interdecadal transition. During P2, spring land surface warming in West Asia corresponded to a significantly enhanced early summer Circumglobal Teleconnection (CGT), which in turn suppressed the Northeast China cold vortex (NECV). The changes in circulation patterns further resulted in weakened moisture transport, strengthened subsidence, reduced precipitation triggering, and eventually, weakened precipitation. Additionally, the results suggest that the interdecadal transition of the relationship and the changes in the corresponding atmospheric circulation may be related to activities of the westerly jet stream. The second princi-pal component (PC2) mode of empirical orthogonal function (EOF) of zonal wind in June over Asia demonstrated a pattern similar to that of the atmospheric circulation corresponding to land surface thermal anomalies. In addition, during P2, the PC2 mode of the westerly jet stream in June showed a strong positive correlation with the NECV, thereby suppressing precipitation over Northeast China. Therefore, it is concluded that the westerly jet stream may have affected the interdecadal transition of the temperature–rainfall relationship around 1990.

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