Fruit quality is a critical determinant of economic returns in pear production, and maintaining an appropriate fruit load (FL) is essential for achieving high yield and quality. As a direct indicator of canopy photosynthetic capacity and assimilate supply, leaf number constitutes the key biological basis of reasonable FL determination under the leaf-to-fruit ratio concept. However, accurate and efficient estimation of leaf number in mature pear trees remains technically challenging, limiting its practical use in precision FL regulation. Here, we propose a data-driven framework for leaf number and reasonable FL estimation by integrating 3D point cloud-derived canopy structure with machine learning. A pipeline for extracting 3D architectural traits was developed and implemented in the software tool FTPCT, enabling rapid and standardized trait acquisition. Through correlation analysis, multicollinearity diagnosis, and variance inflation factor screening, five key traits strongly associated with leaf number were identified and incorporated into five machine learning models optimized using Bayesian optimization. Among them, the optimized random forest regression model achieved the highest and most stable performance, with R2 of 0.85, RMSE of 239.74, and MAE of 149.26 for test dataset. SHAP analysis identified tree crown volume as the dominant contributor to leaf number estimation. Field validation demonstrated that FL regulation guided by the proposed framework significantly improved fruit weight and size without reducing yield compared with conventional practices. Notably, the proposed approach avoids explicit leaf-level reconstruction and relies on less canopy-scale traits, substantially reducing data requirements and computational cost, and thereby offering strong potential for rapid, field-deployable FL regulation in large-scale orchards.
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Open Access
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The leaf area-to-fruit ratio (LAFR) is an important factor affecting fruit quality. Previous studies on LAFR have provided some recommendations for optimal values. However, these recommendations have been quite broad and lack effectiveness during the fruit thinning period. In this study, data on the LAFR and fruit quality of pears at 5 stages were collected by continuously girdling bearing branches throughout the entire fruit development process. Five different clustering algorithms, including KMeans, Agglomerative clustering, Spectral clustering, Birch, and Spectral biclustering, were employed to classify the fruit quality data. Agglomerative clustering yielded the best results when the dataset was divided into 4 clusters. The least squares method was utilized to fit the LAFR corresponding to the best quality cluster, and the optimal LAFR values for 28, 42, 63, 91, and 112 days after flowering were 12.54, 18.95, 23.79, 27.06, and 28.76 dm2 (the corresponding leaf-to-fruit ratio values were 19, 29, 36, 41, and 44, respectively). Furthermore, field verification experiments demonstrated that the optimal LAFR contributed to improving pear fruit quality, and a relatively high LAFR beyond the optimum value did not further increase quality. In summary, we optimized the LAFR of pear trees at different stages and confirmed the effectiveness of the optimal LAFR in improving fruit quality. Our research provides a theoretical basis for managing pear tree fruit load and achieving high-quality, clean fruit production.
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Crop uniformity is a comprehensive indicator used to describe crop growth and is important for assessing crop yield and biomass potential. However, there is still a lack of continuous monitoring of uniformity throughout the growing season to explain their effects on yield and biomass. Therefore, this paper proposed a wheat uniformity quantification method based on unmanned aerial vehicle imaging technology to monitor and analyze the dynamic changes in wheat uniformity. The leaf area index (LAI), soil plant analysis development (SPAD), and fractional vegetation cover were estimated from hyperspectral images, while plant height was estimated by a point cloud model from RGB images. Based on these 4 agronomic parameters, a total of 20 uniformity indices covering multiple growing stages were calculated. The changing trends in the uniformity indices were consistent with the results of visual interpretation. The uniformity indices strongly correlated with yield and biomass were selected to construct multiple linear regression models for estimating yield and biomass. The results showed that Pielou’s index of LAI had the strongest correlation with yield and biomass, with correlation coefficients of −0.760 and −0.801, respectively. The accuracies of the yield (coefficient of determination [R2] = 0.616, root mean square error [RMSE] = 1.189 Mg/ha) and biomass estimation model (R2 = 0.798, RMSE = 1.952 Mg/ha) using uniformity indices were better than those of the models using the mean values of the 4 agronomic parameters. Therefore, the proposed uniformity monitoring method can be used to effectively evaluate the temporal and spatial variations in wheat uniformity and can provide new insights into the prediction of yield and biomass.
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Detailed observation of the phenotypic changes in rice panicle substantially helps us to understand the yield formation. In recent studies, phenotyping of rice panicles during the heading–flowering stage still lacks comprehensive analysis, especially of panicle development under different nitrogen treatments. In this work, we proposed a pipeline to automatically acquire the detailed panicle traits based on time-series images by using the YOLO v5, ResNet50, and DeepSORT models. Combined with field observation data, the proposed method was used to test whether it has an ability to identify subtle differences in panicle developments under different nitrogen treatments. The result shows that panicle counting throughout the heading–flowering stage achieved high accuracy (R2 = 0.96 and RMSE = 1.73), and heading date was estimated with an absolute error of 0.25 days. In addition, by identical panicle tracking based on the time-series images, we analyzed detailed flowering phenotypic changes of a single panicle, such as flowering duration and individual panicle flowering time. For rice population, with an increase in the nitrogen application: panicle number increased, heading date changed little, but the duration was slightly extended; cumulative flowering panicle number increased, rice flowering initiation date arrived earlier while the ending date was later; thus, the flowering duration became longer. For a single panicle, identical panicle tracking revealed that higher nitrogen application led to earlier flowering initiation date, significantly longer flowering days, and significantly longer total duration from vigorous flowering beginning to the end (total DBE). However, the vigorous flowering beginning time showed no significant differences and there was a slight decrease in daily DBE.
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