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Vulnerability assessment method for urban power grid nodes considering coupling with transportation under extreme rainfall scenarios
Journal of Tsinghua University (Science and Technology) 2026, 66(7): 1282-1294
Published: 13 July 2026
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Objective

With the marked increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, the growing likelihood of substation and road flooding poses a severe threat to the operation of power-traffic coupled networks. Existing studies have failed to fully quantify the impact of urban waterlogging disasters on power-traffic networks, and the interactive influence between the two networks under disaster scenarios remains poorly understood. To accurately identify critical nodes in the power-traffic coupled network and clarify key fault propagation links, a vulnerability assessment method that comprehensively integrates multidimensional influencing factors and the bidirectional influence mechanism between the power grid and the traffic network must be developed. Accordingly, this study proposes a substation-focused vulnerability assessment method for power nodes in a power-traffic coupled network, providing guidance for the planning and dispatch of power systems and traffic networks, as well as the allocation of disaster prevention materials.

Methods

A research framework comprising "urban waterlogging modeling-coupling mechanism analysis-key node identification" is established. First, weather and geographic data were integrated into a two-dimensional hydrodynamic model, which incorporated the D8 single flow direction algorithm to establish an urban rainstorm waterlogging model. This model was used to map rainfall parameters to multi-period gridded urban waterlogging depths. Second, the power node failure mechanism was analyzed across different waterlogging depths, using Monte Carlo simulations to sample all grid nodes and obtain the operational state of the distribution network. Then, using traffic network parameters and electric vehicle charging models, the origin-destination analysis method and the Floyd algorithm were used to investigate traffic flow redistribution and charging loads in the urban traffic network, revealing the bidirectional influence mechanism under waterlogging conditions. An iterative "fault-diversion-redispatch-assessment" simulation was constructed to dynamically model the operating state of the coupled system under disaster scenarios. Finally, risk indicators, such as road and node saturation risks, were proposed from an operational perspective. By mapping the traffic network saturation risk to grid nodes and combining network topology with electrical indicators, a comprehensive evaluation method for identifying key nodes in the coupled system was developed based on the analytic hierarchy process, achieving accurate identification of weak links in the coupled system.

Results

A case study involving a modified IEEE 33 bus system and a 32 nodes traffic network was conducted, which intuitively displayed the dynamic cascading failures within power-traffic coupled systems under urban waterlogging scenarios. The results showed that the proposed method accurately identified key nodes in the integrated network, fully verified the necessity of component-level identification from a coupling perspective.

Conclusions

Based on an in-depth analysis of the fault propagation mechanisms of the power-traffic coupled network under urban waterlogging conditions, this study provides a new method for the vulnerability assessment of urban power-traffic coupled networks under extreme rainfall disasters. Future research will optimize the allocation of disaster prevention materials to more efficiently cope with possible waterlogging disasters.

Open Access Regular Paper Issue
Multifactor-influenced Reliability-constrained Reserve Expansion of Integrated Electricity-gas Systems Considering Failure Propagation
CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems 2023, 9(6): 2236-2250
Published: 18 August 2022
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With the increasing interactions between natural gas systems (NGS) and power systems, component failures in one system may propagate to the other one, threatening reliable operation of the whole system. Due to neglect of such cross-sectorial failure propagation in integrated electricity-gas systems (IEGSs), traditional economy-oriented reserve expansion models may lead to unreasonable planning results. In order to address this, an innovative reserve expansion model is proposed to determine the allocation of energy production components through the harmonization between costs and reliability. First, novel multifactor-influenced reliability indices are defined considering synthetic effects of multiple uncertainties, including failure propagation, load uncertainties and generation failures. In reliability index formulation, contribution of failure propagation on system reliability is analytically expressed. To avoid high computational complexity, the fuzzy set theory is combined with conventional methods, e.g., Monte-Carlo simulation technique to reduce numerous contingency states. Sampled contingency states are aggregated into several clusters represented by a fuzzy number. To effectively solve the planning model, a decomposition approach is introduced and applied to decompose the original problem into a master problem and two correlated reliability sub-problems. Numerical studies show the proposed model can plan reasonable reserves to guarantee reliability levels of IEGSs considering failure propagation.

Open Access Regular Paper Issue
Data-driven Reliability Assessment of an Electric Vehicle Penetrated Grid Utilizing the Diffusion Estimator and Slice Sampling
CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems 2023, 9(5): 1845-1853
Published: 21 December 2020
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Due to the stochasticity of charging behaviors of electric vehicles (EVs), it is difficult to anticipate when charging load demand will be densely concentrated. If massive charging loads and the system peak profile appear at the same time, it may pose a risk to the reliable operation of power grids. For a system integrated with renewable energies, this risk can be much higher because of their unsteady power output. With load measurements more widely collected, this paper presents a data-driven framework to assess the reliability of a power grid considering charging EVs. Specifically, the diffusion estimator is firstly applied to estimate the probability density function of EV charging loads, which possesses both regional adaptivity and good boundary estimation performance. Then, charging load samples are produced through slice sampling. It is capable of sampling from irregularly-shaped distributions with high accuracy. The proposed approach is verified by the numerical results from the simulations on a modified IEEE 30-bus test system based on real measurement data.

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