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The 2024 Asian–Australian Monsoon Year: Widespread Extremes with Notable Subseasonal Variability and Socioeconomic Impacts

Center for Monsoon System Research and State Key Laboratory of Earth System Numerical Modeling and Application,Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
Yunnan International Joint Laboratory of Monsoon and Extreme Climate Disasters & Yunnan Key Laboratory of MeteorologicalDisasters and Climate Resources in the Greater Mekong Subregion, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, China
Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba 4350, Australia
Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne 3001, Australia
South Asia Hydromet Forum (SAHF) Climate and Weather Service, Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System,Pathumthani 12120, Thailand
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune 411008, India
State Key Laboratory of Climate Resilience for Coastal Cities, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST), Hong Kong 999077, China
Centre for Climate Research Singapore, Singapore 537054, Singapore
National Climate Centre, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Republic of Korea
Indonesia Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG), Jakarta 10610, Indonesia
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, Department of Science and Technology, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6ET, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9PH, UK
Tokyo Metropolitan University, Tokyo 192-0397, Japan
National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Noida 201309, India
A. M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow 119017, Russia
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow 119017, Russia
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Abstract

The 2024 Asian–Australian monsoon (AAM) year, defined as April 2024 to March 2025, was notable. Based on available data, a prolonged rainy season was observed in most parts of the AAM region, except for the Meiyu Region, which corresponds to the area affected by the second stage of the East Asian summer monsoon. The rainy season also featured elevated near-surface air temperatures, a boreal summer rainfall surplus of approximately 20% across South, East, and Mainland Southeast Asia, an austral summer rainfall deficit of approximately 30% in Northern Australia, and a surplus of approximately 30% in the Maritime Continent. During boreal winter, a strong East Asian winter monsoon circulation led to below-average precipitation along East Asia’s climatological rain belt, including South China and Japan, accompanied by above-average near-surface air temperatures. Meanwhile, the 2024 AAM exhibited notable subseasonal variability, with abrupt alternations between dry/drought and wet/flood conditions, as well as between warm and cold episodes over many regions. It was also characterized by widespread extreme events, including but not limited to heavy rainfall, heatwaves, cold surges, and tropical cyclones. Such AAM-associated variability and extremes exerted considerable social impacts and caused substantial economic losses, highlighting the ongoing challenges in understanding and predicting the AAM at regional scales and multiple timescales.

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Journal of Meteorological Research
Pages 301-318

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Cite this article:
WANG L, DONG Z, COWAN T, et al. The 2024 Asian–Australian Monsoon Year: Widespread Extremes with Notable Subseasonal Variability and Socioeconomic Impacts. Journal of Meteorological Research, 2026, 40(2): 301-318. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-026-5262-y

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Received: 27 September 2025
Revised: 03 December 2025
Accepted: 22 December 2025
Published: 18 April 2026
© The Chinese Meteorological Society 2026