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Calibrated energy models are used for measurement and verification of building retrofit projects, predictions of savings from energy conservation measures, and commissioning building systems (both prior to occupancy and during real-time model based performance monitoring, controls and diagnostics). This paper presents a systematic and automated way to calibrate a building energy model. Efficient parameter sampling is used to analyze more than two thousand model parameters and identify which of these are critical (most important) for model tuning. The parameters that most affect the building’s energy end-use are selected and automatically refined to calibrate the model by applying an analytic meta-model based optimization. Real-time data from an office building, including weather and energy meter data in 2010, was used for the model calibration, while 2011 data was used for the model verification. The modeling process, calibration and verification results, as well as implementation issues encountered throughout the model calibration process from a user’s perspective are discussed. The total facility and plug electricity consumption predictions from the calibrated model match the actual measured monthly data within ±5%. The calibrated model gives 2.80% of Coefficient of Variation of Root Mean Squared Error (CV (RMSE)) and -2.31% of Normalized Mean Bias Error (NMBE) for the whole building monthly electricity use, which is acceptable based on the ASHRAE Guideline 14-2002. In this work we use EnergyPlus as a modeling tool, while the method can be used with other modeling tools equally as well.


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Leveraging the analysis of parametric uncertainty for building energy model calibration

Show Author's information Zheng O’Neill1,2( )Bryan Eisenhower3
United Technologies Research Center, East Hartford, CT 06108, USA
Present address: Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Alabama, Box 870276, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487, USA
University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA

Abstract

Calibrated energy models are used for measurement and verification of building retrofit projects, predictions of savings from energy conservation measures, and commissioning building systems (both prior to occupancy and during real-time model based performance monitoring, controls and diagnostics). This paper presents a systematic and automated way to calibrate a building energy model. Efficient parameter sampling is used to analyze more than two thousand model parameters and identify which of these are critical (most important) for model tuning. The parameters that most affect the building’s energy end-use are selected and automatically refined to calibrate the model by applying an analytic meta-model based optimization. Real-time data from an office building, including weather and energy meter data in 2010, was used for the model calibration, while 2011 data was used for the model verification. The modeling process, calibration and verification results, as well as implementation issues encountered throughout the model calibration process from a user’s perspective are discussed. The total facility and plug electricity consumption predictions from the calibrated model match the actual measured monthly data within ±5%. The calibrated model gives 2.80% of Coefficient of Variation of Root Mean Squared Error (CV (RMSE)) and -2.31% of Normalized Mean Bias Error (NMBE) for the whole building monthly electricity use, which is acceptable based on the ASHRAE Guideline 14-2002. In this work we use EnergyPlus as a modeling tool, while the method can be used with other modeling tools equally as well.

Keywords: calibration, EnergyPlus, sensitivity analysis, meta-model based optimization

References(37)

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Publication history
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Acknowledgements

Publication history

Received: 27 November 2012
Revised: 22 January 2013
Accepted: 19 February 2013
Published: 12 September 2013
Issue date: December 2013

Copyright

© Tsinghua University Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Acknowledgements

This work was performed under the project EW09-29 administered by ESTCP (Environmental Security Technology Certification Program) technology program of the U.S. Department of Defense. We would like to thank Dr. James Galvin, the ESTCP program manager, and Mr. Peter Behrens, the energy manager at Great Lakes, for their support. Views, opinions, and/or findings contained in this paper are those of the authors and should not be construed as an official Department of Defense position or decision unless so designated by other official documentation.

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