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Research Article | Open Access

Oncological data applications and risk measures of the heavy-tailed Weibull flexible-G family

Fastel Chipepa1Mahmoud M. Abdelwahab2( )Wilbert Nkomo3Mustafa M. Hasaballah4
Department of Mathematics and Statistical Sciences, Botswana International University of Science and Technology, Palapye, Botswana
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh 11432, Saudi Arabia
Department of Applied Statistics, Manicaland State University of Applied Sciences, P. Bag 7001, Stair Guthrie Road, Fernhill, Mutare, Zimbabwe
Department of Basic Sciences, Marg Higher Institute of Engineering and Modern Technology, Cairo 11721, Egypt
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Abstract

We introduce the heavy-tailed Weibull flexible-G (HT-WF-G) family of distributions and derive its fundamental properties, including quantile functions and moments. A maximum likelihood estimation procedure is developed for the parameter inference, with its finite-sample performance and asymptotic properties validated through rigorous Monte Carlo simulation studies. Furthermore, we formulate key actuarial risk metrics including the value at risk (VaR), tail value at risk (TVaR), tail variance (TV), and tail variance premium (TVP) within this flexible framework. The model's practical effectiveness is demonstrated through its application to oncology time-to-event data (lung cancer and acute myeloid leukemia). Empirical results consistently affirm the model's superiority over leading benchmark distributions, as evidenced by significant improvements in the goodness-of-fit criteria, thus establishing the HT-WF-G family as an effective tool for statistical modeling in heavy-tailed and complex survival settings.

CLC number: 62E10, 60E30

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AIMS Mathematics
Pages 8382-8406

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Cite this article:
Chipepa F, Abdelwahab MM, Nkomo W, et al. Oncological data applications and risk measures of the heavy-tailed Weibull flexible-G family. AIMS Mathematics, 2026, 11(3): 8382-8406. https://doi.org/10.3934/math.2026344

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Received: 13 January 2026
Revised: 16 February 2026
Accepted: 28 February 2026
Published: 15 March 2026
©2026 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)