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Research Article | Open Access

Vaccination strategies in a stochastic S I V R epidemic model

Shah Hussain1Naveed Iqbal1Elissa Nadia Madi2Thoraya N. Alharthi3Ilyas Khan4( )
Department of Mathematics, College of Science, University of Ha'il, Ha'il 2440, Saudi Arabia
Faculty of Informatics and Computing, Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin (UniSZA), Besut Campus, Terengganu, Malaysia
Department of Mathematics, College of Science, University of Bisha, P.O. Box 551, Bisha 61922, Saudi Arabia
Department of Mathematics, College of Science Al-Zulfi, Majmaah University, Al-Majmaah 11952, Saudi Arabia
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Abstract

Effective disease control measures are essential for mitigating epidemic risks. This study introduces a novel stochastic susceptible-infected-vaccinated-recovered S I V R epidemic model that incorporates white noise in vaccination dynamics. Unlike traditional deterministic models, our stochastic framework accounts for the inherent randomness in real-world disease transmission and the effectiveness of interventions. We rigorously establish the existence and uniqueness of global positive solutions using Lyapunov functions and derive conditions for disease extinction and persistence under stochastic perturbations. A key contribution is the introduction of a stochastic reproduction number R 0 , which refines classical epidemic thresholds by integrating randomness. Through numerical simulations, we illustrate the impact of stochasticity on disease dynamics, demonstrating that noise can drive disease extinction even in scenarios where deterministic models predict persistence. This study provides a more realistic epidemiological framework for optimizing vaccination strategies under uncertainty, offering significant advances in epidemic modeling and public health policy.

CLC number: 26A33, 34A08, 35R11

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AIMS Mathematics
Pages 4441-4456

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Cite this article:
Hussain S, Iqbal N, Madi EN, et al. Vaccination strategies in a stochastic S I V R epidemic model. AIMS Mathematics, 2025, 10(2): 4441-4456. https://doi.org/10.3934/math.2025204

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Received: 02 January 2025
Revised: 16 February 2025
Accepted: 24 February 2025
Published: 15 February 2025
©2025 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)