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Research Article | Open Access

The heavy-tailed chi-square model: properties, estimation and application to wind speed data

Eliseo Martínez1Emilio Gómez-Déniz2Diego I. Gallardo3Osvaldo Venegas4( )Héctor W. Gómez5
Departamento de Matemáticas, Facultad de Ciencias Básicas, Universidad de Antofagasta, Antofagasta 1240000, Chile
Department of Quantitative Methods in Economics and TIDES Institute, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35017 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
Departamento de Estadística, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad del Bío-Bío, Concepción 4081112, Chile
Departamento de Ciencias Matemáticas y Físicas, Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Católica de Temuco, Temuco 4780000, Chile
Departamento de Estadística y Ciencia de Datos, Facultad de Ciencias Básicas, Universidad de Antofagasta, Antofagasta 1240000, Chile
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Abstract

In this article, we introduced an extension of the chi-square distribution by employing a slash-type methodology that enhanced the weight of the right tail, thereby producing a heavy-tailed distribution. We explored two different representations of the proposed distribution and examined several of its key properties, such as the mode, cumulative distribution function, reliability and hazard functions, moments, and the skewness and kurtosis coefficients. Additionally, we demonstrated that the classical chi-square distribution was a special case of our proposed model. Parameter estimation was carried out using both the method of moments and the maximum likelihood estimation, the latter via the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. A simulation study was conducted to evaluate the performance of parameter recovery. Finally, we applied the new distribution to a wind speed dataset, showing that it provided a good fit, particularly in the presence of extreme values.

CLC number: 62E15, 62E20, 62F10, 62P99

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AIMS Mathematics
Pages 23849-23868

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Cite this article:
Martínez E, Gómez-Déniz E, Gallardo DI, et al. The heavy-tailed chi-square model: properties, estimation and application to wind speed data. AIMS Mathematics, 2025, 10(10): 23849-23868. https://doi.org/10.3934/math.20251060

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Received: 06 September 2025
Revised: 06 October 2025
Accepted: 13 October 2025
Published: 21 October 2025
©2025 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)