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Research Article | Open Access

A swarm intelligence-based ensemble learning model for optimizing customer churn prediction in the telecommunications sector

Bijan Moradi1Mehran Khalaj1( )Ali Taghizadeh Herat1Asghar Darigh2Alireza Tamjid Yamcholo3
Department of Industrial Engineering, Islamic Azad University, Parand and Robat Karim Branch, Tehran, Iran
Department of Mathematics, Islamic Azad University, Parand and Robat Karim Branch, Tehran, Iran
Department of Computer Science and Information Technology, Islamic Azad University, Parand and Robat Karim Branch, Tehran, Iran
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Abstract

In today's competitive market, predicting clients' behavior is crucial for businesses to meet their needs and prevent them from being attracted by competitors. This is especially important in industries like telecommunications, where the cost of acquiring new customers exceeds retaining existing ones. To achieve this, companies employ Customer Churn Prediction approaches to identify potential customer attrition and develop retention plans. Machine learning models are highly effective in identifying such customers; however, there is a need for more effective techniques to handle class imbalance in churn datasets and enhance prediction accuracy in complex churn prediction datasets. To address these challenges, we propose a novel two-level stacking-mode ensemble learning model that utilizes the Whale Optimization Algorithm for feature selection and hyper-parameter optimization. We also introduce a method combining K-member clustering and Whale Optimization to effectively handle class imbalance in churn datasets. Extensive experiments conducted on well-known datasets, along with comparisons to other machine learning models and existing churn prediction methods, demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach.

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AIMS Mathematics
Pages 2781-2807

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Cite this article:
Moradi B, Khalaj M, Herat AT, et al. A swarm intelligence-based ensemble learning model for optimizing customer churn prediction in the telecommunications sector. AIMS Mathematics, 2024, 9(2): 2781-2807. https://doi.org/10.3934/math.2024138

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Received: 08 October 2023
Revised: 24 December 2023
Accepted: 26 December 2023
Published: 15 February 2024
©2024 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)