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Research Article | Open Access

Comparative analysis of practical identifiability methods for an SEIR model

Omar Saucedo1( )Amanda Laubmeier2Tingting Tang3Benjamin Levy4Lale Asik5Tim Pollington6Olivia Prosper Feldman7
Department of Mathematics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409, USA
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182, USA
Division of Mathematics, Analytics, Science, and Technology, Babson College, Wellesley, MA 02481, USA
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of the Incarnate Word, San Antonio TX 78209, USA
Big Data Institute, University of Oxford, OX1 2JD, Oxford, UK
Department of Mathematics, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996, USA
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Abstract

Identifiability of a mathematical model plays a crucial role in the parameterization of the model. In this study, we established the structural identifiability of a susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR) model given different combinations of input data and investigated practical identifiability with respect to different observable data, data frequency, and noise distributions. The practical identifiability was explored by both Monte Carlo simulations and a correlation matrix approach. Our results showed that practical identifiability benefits from higher data frequency and data from the peak of an outbreak. The incidence data gave the best practical identifiability results compared to prevalence and cumulative data. In addition, we compared and distinguished the practical identifiability by Monte Carlo simulations and a correlation matrix approach, providing insights into when to use which method for other applications.

CLC number: 92-10, 92D30, 34C60

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AIMS Mathematics
Pages 24722-24761

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Cite this article:
Saucedo O, Laubmeier A, Tang T, et al. Comparative analysis of practical identifiability methods for an SEIR model. AIMS Mathematics, 2024, 9(9): 24722-24761. https://doi.org/10.3934/math.20241204

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Received: 27 April 2024
Revised: 16 July 2024
Accepted: 12 August 2024
Published: 15 September 2024
©2024 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)