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Research Article | Open Access

Exact expression of ultimate time survival probability in homogeneous discrete-time risk model

Institute of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics, Vilnius University, Naugarduko 24, Vilnius LT-03225, Lithuania
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Abstract

In this work, we set up the generating function of the ultimate time survival probability φ ( u + 1 ), where

φ ( u ) = P ( sup n 1 i = 1 n ( X i κ ) < u ) ,

u N 0 , κ N and the random walk { i = 1 n X i , n N } consists of independent and identically distributed random variables X i , which are non-negative and integer-valued. We also give expressions of φ ( u ) via the roots of certain polynomials. The probability φ ( u ) means that the stochastic process

u + κ n i = 1 n X i

is positive for all n N , where a certain growth is illustrated by the deterministic part u + κ n and decrease is given by the subtracted random part i = 1 n X i . Based on the proven theoretical statements, we give several examples of φ ( u ) and its generating function expressions, when random variables X i admit Bernoulli, geometric and some other distributions.

CLC number: 60G50, 60J80, 91G05

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AIMS Mathematics
Pages 5181-5199

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Cite this article:
Grigutis A. Exact expression of ultimate time survival probability in homogeneous discrete-time risk model. AIMS Mathematics, 2023, 8(3): 5181-5199. https://doi.org/10.3934/math.2023260

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Received: 04 September 2022
Revised: 15 November 2022
Accepted: 29 November 2022
Published: 15 March 2023
©2023 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)