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Research Article | Open Access

Estimation method of mixture distribution and modeling of COVID-19 pandemic

Tabassum Naz Sindhu1( )Zawar Hussain2Naif Alotaibi3( )Taseer Muhammad4
Department of Statistics, Quaid-i-Azam University 45320, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
Department of Social & Allied Sciences, Cholistan University of Veterinary & Animal Sciences, Bahawalpur 63100, Pakistan
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Department of Mathematics, College of Sciences, King Khalid University, Abha 61413, Saudi Arabia
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Abstract

The mathematical characteristics of the mixture of Lindley model with 2-component (2-CMLM) are discussed. In this paper, we investigate both the practical and theoretical aspects of the 2-CMLM. We investigate several statistical features of the mixed model like probability generating function, cumulants, characteristic function, factorial moment generating function, mean time to failure, Mills Ratio, mean residual life. The density, hazard rate functions, mean, coefficient of variation, skewness, and kurtosis are all shown graphically. Furthermore, we use appropriate approaches such as maximum likelihood, least square and weighted least square methods to estimate the pertinent parameters of the mixture model. We use a simulation study to assess the performance of suggested methods. Eventually, modelling COVID-19 patient data demonstrates the effectiveness and utility of the 2-CMLM. The proposed model outperformed the two component mixture of exponential model as well as two component mixture of Weibull model in practical applications, indicating that it is a good candidate distribution for modelling COVID-19 and other related data sets.

CLC number: 62E10, 62E15, 62F10

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AIMS Mathematics
Pages 9926-9956

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Cite this article:
Sindhu TN, Hussain Z, Alotaibi N, et al. Estimation method of mixture distribution and modeling of COVID-19 pandemic. AIMS Mathematics, 2022, 7(6): 9926-9956. https://doi.org/10.3934/math.2022554

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Received: 21 August 2021
Revised: 18 December 2021
Accepted: 17 January 2022
Published: 15 June 2022
©2022 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)