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Review | Open Access

AI-Driven precision in solar forecasting: Breakthroughs in machine learning and deep learning

Ayesha Nadeem1,Muhammad Farhan Hanif2,3,( )Muhammad Sabir Naveed2Muhammad Tahir Hassan3Mustabshirha Gul3Naveed Husnain3Jianchun Mi2
Department of Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering, Pak-Austria Fachhochschule-Institute of Applied Sciences and Technology, Mang, Haripur 22621, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
Department of Energy & Resource Engineering, College of Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
Department of Mechanical Engineering, FE&T, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan 60000, Pakistan

These authors contributed equally to this study.

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Abstract

The need for accurate solar energy forecasting is paramount as the global push towards renewable energy intensifies. We aimed to provide a comprehensive analysis of the latest advancements in solar energy forecasting, focusing on Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) techniques. The novelty of this review lies in its detailed examination of ML and DL models, highlighting their ability to handle complex and nonlinear patterns in Solar Irradiance (SI) data. We systematically explored the evolution from traditional empirical, including machine learning (ML), and physical approaches to these advanced models, and delved into their real-world applications, discussing economic and policy implications. Additionally, we covered a variety of forecasting models, including empirical, image-based, statistical, ML, DL, foundation, and hybrid models. Our analysis revealed that ML and DL models significantly enhance forecasting accuracy, operational efficiency, and grid reliability, contributing to economic benefits and supporting sustainable energy policies. By addressing challenges related to data quality and model interpretability, this review underscores the importance of continuous innovation in solar forecasting techniques to fully realize their potential. The findings suggest that integrating these advanced models with traditional approaches offers the most promising path forward for improving solar energy forecasting.

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AIMS Geosciences
Pages 684-734

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Cite this article:
Nadeem A, Hanif MF, Naveed MS, et al. AI-Driven precision in solar forecasting: Breakthroughs in machine learning and deep learning. AIMS Geosciences, 2024, 10(4): 684-734. https://doi.org/10.3934/geosci.2024035

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Received: 22 June 2024
Revised: 05 August 2024
Accepted: 20 August 2024
Published: 15 December 2024
©2024 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)