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Research Article | Open Access

Copula-based analysis of asymmetrically distributed joint data under a risk profile using the discrete Type-I extreme value distribution

Hend S. Shahen1Mahmoud El-Morshedy1( )Mohamed S. Eliwa2Mohamed F. Abouelenein3
Department of Mathematics, College of Science and Humanities in Al-Kharj, Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University, Al-Kharj 11942, Saudi Arabia
Department of Statistics and Operations Research, College of Science, Qassim University, Saudi Arabia
Department of Insurance and Risk Management, College of Business, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh 11432, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
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Abstract

Copulas provide a flexible framework for building bivariate probability models that reflect specific dependency patterns. This work introduces a discrete form of the Type-I extreme value (Gumbel) distribution within a copula-based structure. Key mathematical and statistical characteristics are examined, including the joint probability mass function, survival function, hazard rate, conditional expectation, joint probability generating function, and dependency properties such as positive quadrant dependence and total positivity of order two. The bivariate discrete Gumbel model demonstrates strong performance in handling asymmetric data and proves particularly useful for capturing extreme and outlier observations. Its joint hazard rate function adds further flexibility, making it suitable for modeling a range of failure rate behaviors. Parameter estimation is carried out using the maximum likelihood method, and a thorough simulation study evaluates the bias and mean squared errors across various sample sizes. To illustrate its practical relevance, the model is applied to three different real-world datasets: football match outcomes, nasal drainage severity scores, and lens defects involving surface and interior faults.

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Electronic Research Archive
Pages 4468-4494

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Cite this article:
Shahen HS, El-Morshedy M, Eliwa MS, et al. Copula-based analysis of asymmetrically distributed joint data under a risk profile using the discrete Type-I extreme value distribution. Electronic Research Archive, 2025, 33(8): 4468-4494. https://doi.org/10.3934/era.2025203

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Received: 24 June 2025
Revised: 13 July 2025
Accepted: 21 July 2025
Published: 06 August 2025
©2025 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)