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Research Article | Open Access

Ergodic stationary distribution and extinction of stochastic pertussis model with immune and Markov switching

Jia Chen1Yuming Chen2Qimin Zhang1( )
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Ningxia University, Yinchuan 750021, China
Department of Mathematics, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, ON N2L 3C5, Canada
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Abstract

Temperature, humidity, and other environmental factors can influence the spread of diseases. To investigate the impact of environmental perturbations and state changes on pertussis, this study established a random pertussis model with immunity and Markov switching. This stochastic model presented a global positive solution. Subsequently, using Itô's lemma and Lyapunov function, we concluded that the disease will become extinct. Then, a critical value R 0 e was introduced. It was established that the stochastic model with Markov switching has an ergodic stationary distribution when R 0 e > 1, which implies that this infectious disease will persist and remain prevalent. Some examples are presented to further substantiate our theoretical conclusions.

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Electronic Research Archive
Pages 2736-2761

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Cite this article:
Chen J, Chen Y, Zhang Q. Ergodic stationary distribution and extinction of stochastic pertussis model with immune and Markov switching. Electronic Research Archive, 2025, 33(5): 2736-2761. https://doi.org/10.3934/era.2025121

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Received: 05 March 2025
Revised: 22 April 2025
Accepted: 25 April 2025
Published: 15 May 2025
©2025 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)