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Article | Open Access

Optimizing Performance Prediction of Perovskite Photovoltaic Materials by Statistical Methods-Intelligent Calculation Model

Guo-Feng Fan1,2Jia-Jing Qian1Li-Ling Peng1Xin-Hang Jia1Ling-Han Zuo1Jia-Can Yan1Jiang-Yan Chen1Anantkumar J. Umbarkar3Wei-Chiang Hong4( )
School of Mathematics & Statistics, Ping Ding Shan University, Pingdingshan, 467000, China
Yaoshan Lab, Ping Ding Shan University, Pingdingshan, 467000, China
Department of Information Technology, Walchand College of Engineering, Sangli, 416415, Maharashtra, India
College of Shipbuilding Engineering, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin, 150001, China
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Abstract

Accurate prediction of perovskite photovoltaic materials’ optoelectronic properties is crucial for developing efficient and stable materials, advancing solar technology. To address poor interpretability, high computational complexity, and inaccurate predictions in relevant machine learning models, this paper proposes a novel methodology. The technical route of this paper mainly centers on the random forest-knowledge distillation-bidirectional gated recurrent unit with attention technology (namely RF-KD-BIGRUA), which is applied in perovskite photovoltaic materials. Primarily, it combines random forest to quantitatively assess feature importance, selecting variables with significant impacts on photoelectric conversion efficiency. Subsequently, statistical techniques analyze the weight distribution of variables influencing power conversion efficiency (PCE, %) to extract key features. In the model optimization phase, knowledge distillation transfers features from complex teacher models to student models, enhancing prediction accuracy. Additionally, Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit with Attention technology (BiGRU-Attention) is introduced to further optimize predictive performance while substantially reducing computational costs. The results demonstrate that integrating statistical techniques into intelligent optimization models can quantify photovoltaic system uncertainties and reduce prediction errors before experimental fabrication, enabling efficient pre-fabrication screening of perovskite materials that meet energy-storage criteria and providing accurate guidance for material selection.

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Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences
Pages 3813-3837

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Cite this article:
Fan G-F, Qian J-J, Peng L-L, et al. Optimizing Performance Prediction of Perovskite Photovoltaic Materials by Statistical Methods-Intelligent Calculation Model. Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, 2025, 145(3): 3813-3837. https://doi.org/10.32604/cmes.2025.073615

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Received: 22 September 2025
Accepted: 17 November 2025
Published: 23 December 2025
© The Author 2025.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.