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A Data Multiple Imputation Method for Mortality Prediction in Patients with Heart Failure

Yanan Zhang1, Linlin Zhang1,2, Yuanbo Guo1, Xuehua Bi3, Kai Zhao4( )
School of Software, Xinjiang University, Urumqi Xinjiang 830091, China
Center of Network and Information Technology, Xinjiang University, Urumqi Xinjiang 830046, China
School of Medical Engineering and Technology, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi Xinjiang 830054, China
School of Computer Science and Technology, Xinjiang University, Urumqi Xinjiang 830017, China
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Abstract

Aiming at the problem that the imperfect data collection mechanism of diagnosis and treatment leads to data loss and the poor quality of existing network feature extraction leads to the limited performance of clinical prediction models, a data multiple imputation method (Self-attention and Generative adversarial network based Mortality Prediction, SGMP) for mortality prediction of patients with heart failure is proposed. Firstly, the self-attention mechanism is used to dynamically fuse multiple sets of candidate estimates in the potential space of the variational autoencoder (VAE), and the adversarial training strategy of the generative adversarial network (GAN) is introduced to optimize the representation learning ability. Then, the candidate estimation results are effectively obtained according to the mask matrix, and the multiple interpolation of missing data is realized. Finally, the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) is used to enhance the data, and the multilayer perceptron (MLP) is used to predict the mortality rate. Based on the diagnosis and treatment data of heart failure patients in a tertiary hospital in Xinjiang, the results show that: in the mortality prediction task, SGMP has significantly improved in multiple indicators compared with other models, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve reaches 0.902.

CLC number: R541.6; TP183 Document code: A Article ID: 2096-7675(2026)01-0061-009

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Journal of Xinjiang University(Natural Science Edition in Chinese and English)
Pages 61-69

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Cite this article:
Zhang Y, Zhang L, Guo Y, et al. A Data Multiple Imputation Method for Mortality Prediction in Patients with Heart Failure. Journal of Xinjiang University(Natural Science Edition in Chinese and English), 2026, 43(1): 61-69. https://doi.org/10.13568/j.cnki.651094.651316.2025.04.26.0001

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Received: 26 April 2025
Revised: 14 November 2025
Accepted: 16 November 2025
Published: 01 January 2026
© 2026 Journal of Xinjiang University (Natural Science Edition in Chinese and English)