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Publishing Language: Chinese | Open Access

Data-driven effectiveness evaluation modeling and simulation of anti-missile equipment system

Haiyan ZHAO1,2Feng ZHOU1( )Wenjing YANG2Jing ZHAO2Xiaoshuang WANG2
Air Defense and Antimissile School, Air Force Engineering University, Xi′an 710051, China
College of Information and Communication, Wuhan 430035, China
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Abstract

Aiming at the problems that traditional effectiveness evaluation methods can not reflect the evolution, emergence and adaptability of the anti-missile equipment system, a data-driven effectiveness evaluation method of anti-missile equipment system was proposed. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of anti-missile equipment system and the shortage of traditional effectiveness evaluation method. the Bayes optimization algorithm was used to optimize the convolutional neural network hyperparameters, and the efficiency evaluation model of Bayes-CNN (Bayes convolutional neural network) was constructed. The flow and steps of Bayes-CNN system effectiveness evaluation algorithm were studied, and a set of completed efficiency evaluation algorithm was formed. Designed and validated the simulation experiment, input a lot of test data to Bayes-CNN model for training and learning, so as to obtain the simulation prediction of the effectiveness of anti-missile equipment system. The experimental results show that the error between the actual and expected output is very small, and the non-linear fitting effect is great so that it had a high degree of feasibility and reliability.

CLC number: E927 Document code: A Article ID: 1001-2486(2025)03-081-09

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Journal of National University of Defense Technology
Pages 81-89

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Cite this article:
ZHAO H, ZHOU F, YANG W, et al. Data-driven effectiveness evaluation modeling and simulation of anti-missile equipment system. Journal of National University of Defense Technology, 2025, 47(3): 81-89. https://doi.org/10.11887/j.cn.202503009

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Received: 02 September 2024
Published: 25 July 2025
© 2025 Journal of National University of Defense Technology

This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).