Journal Home > Volume 4 , Issue 2
Purpose

The encrypted money market has attracted the attention of investors all over the world. Among the encrypted currency, bitcoin is undoubtedly the most popular. Because blockchain technology is the crucial support of bitcoin, exploring the relationship between bitcoin and the blockchain index is necessary.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper uses the Granger causality test to explore the correlation between bitcoin and the blockchain index. Furthermore, their volatility is analyzed by a GARCH-class model.

Findings

The results show that no significant correlation exists between bitcoin and the blockchain index; external shocks aggravate the volatility of bitcoin and the blockchain index, and the volatility has a certain degree of sustainability; and blockchain index has obvious leverage, namely, its decline has a stronger impact.

Originality/value

The volatility of bitcoin and the blockchain index is crucial for investors.


menu
Abstract
Full text
Outline
About this article

The correlation and volatility between bitcoin and the blockchain index

Show Author's information Tuotuo QiTianmei Wang( )Jianming ZhuRuyu Bai
School of Information, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China

Abstract

Purpose

The encrypted money market has attracted the attention of investors all over the world. Among the encrypted currency, bitcoin is undoubtedly the most popular. Because blockchain technology is the crucial support of bitcoin, exploring the relationship between bitcoin and the blockchain index is necessary.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper uses the Granger causality test to explore the correlation between bitcoin and the blockchain index. Furthermore, their volatility is analyzed by a GARCH-class model.

Findings

The results show that no significant correlation exists between bitcoin and the blockchain index; external shocks aggravate the volatility of bitcoin and the blockchain index, and the volatility has a certain degree of sustainability; and blockchain index has obvious leverage, namely, its decline has a stronger impact.

Originality/value

The volatility of bitcoin and the blockchain index is crucial for investors.

Keywords: Bitcoin, Blockchain index, Granger causality test, GARCH-class model, Volatility

References(20)

Baek, C. and Elbeck, M. (2015), “Bitcoins as an investment or speculative vehicle? A first look”,Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 22 No. 1, pp. 30-34.

Bouoiyour, J. and Selmi, R. (2015), “What does bitcoin look like?”, Annals of Economics and Finance, Vol. 16 No. 2, pp. 449-492.

Catania, L., Stefano, G. and Francesco, R. (2018), “Predicting the volatility of cryptocurrency time-series”, Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance, Vol. 1, pp. 203-207.

Cheah, E.T. and Fry, J. (2015), “Speculative bubbles in bitcoin markets? An empirical investigation into the fundamental value of bitcoin”, Economics Letters, Vol. 130, pp. 32-36.

Ciaian, P., Rajcaniova, M. and Kancs, D.A. (2014), “The economics of bitcoin price formation”, Applied Economics, Vol. 48 No. 19, pp. 1799-1815.

Duan, J. and Dong, L. (2019), “Research on the influence of blockchain internet heat on its concept stocks volatility”, China Price.

Dyhrberg, A.H. (2015), “Bitcoin, gold and the dollar – a GARCH volatility analysis”, Finance Research Letters, Vol. 16, pp. 85-92.

Dyhrberg, A.H. (2016), “Hedging capabilities of bitcoin. Is it the virtual gold?”, Finance Research Letters, Vol. 16, pp. 139-144.

Glaser, F., Zimmermann, K., Haferkorn, M., Weber, M.C. and Siering, M. (2014), Bitcoin – Asset or Currency? Revealing Users’ Hidden Intentions, Social Science Electronic Publishing, New York, NY.
Grinberg, R. (2011), Bitcoin: An Innovative Alternative Digital Currency, Social Science Electronic Publishing.

Hayes, A.S. (2016), “Cryptocurrency value formation: an empirical study leading to a cost of production model for valuing bitcoin”, Telematics and Informatics, Vol. 34 No. 7, pp. 1308-1321.

He, P., Yu, G., Zhang, Y. and Bao, Y. (2017), “Survey on blockchain technology and its application prospect”, Computer Science, Vol. 44 No. 4, pp. 1-7.

Kristoufek, L. (2013), “Bitcoin meets google trends and Wikipedia: quantifying the relationship between phenomena of the internet era”, Scientific Reports, Vol. 3 No. 1, p. 3415.

Kristoufek, L. (2014), “What are the main drivers of the bitcoin price? Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis”, Plos One, Vol. 10 No. 4.

Li, X-M. and Sun, H. (2018), “Research on measurement of the input-output efficiency of listed companies in blockchain concept based on BCC-DEA”, China Business and Market, Vol. 32 No. 7, pp. 47-57.

Phillip, A., Chan, J.S. and Peiris, S. (2018), “A new look at cryptocurrencies”, Economics Letters, Vol. 163, pp. 6-9.

Polasik, M., Piotrowska, A.I., Wisniewski, T.P., Kotkowski, R. and Lightfoot, G. (2015), “Price fluctuations and the use of bitcoin: an empirical inquiry”,International Journal of Electronic Commerce, Vol. 20 No. 1, pp. 9-49.

Urquhart, A. (2016), “The inefficiency of bitcoin”, Economics Letters, Vol. 148, pp. 80-82.

van Wijk, D. (2013), What Can Be Expected from the Bitcoin, Erasmus Universiteit, Rotterdam.

Yuan, Y. and Wang, F. (2016), “Blockchain: the state of the art and future trends”, Acta Automatica Sinica, Vol. 42 No. 4, pp. 481-494.

Publication history
Copyright
Acknowledgements
Rights and permissions

Publication history

Received: 27 November 2019
Revised: 06 January 2020
Accepted: 06 January 2020
Published: 28 April 2020
Issue date: June 2020

Copyright

© The author(s)

Acknowledgements

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Plan of China: Research on Fundamental Theories and Methods of Crowd Science (2017YFB1400100) and the Research Base Project of Beijing Social Science Foundation: Research on the Mechanism and Effectiveness of Public Network Participation in Public Decision-making (18JDGLB020).

Rights and permissions

Tuotuo Qi, Tianmei Wang, Jianming Zhu and Ruyu Bai. Published in International Journal of Crowd Science. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode

Return