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Original Research | Open Access

Asymmetric intensification of heatwave-ozone compound extremes across China at 1 km resolution from 2000 to 2023

Yuxin Bia,1, Ruijun Xua,1, Yi Zhenga, Nongping Fengb, Jing Weic, Sirong Wanga, Lu Luoa, Jinying Huanga, Kaiwen Zuoa, Qiling Wangd, Xinzong Zhangd, Ziquan Lve, Suli Huangf, Xue-Yan Zhengg, Hong Sunh, Ronghai Dengi( ), Yuewei Liua( )
Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510080, China
Department of Non-Communicable Disease Prevention and Control, Shenzhen Longgang Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518172, China
MEEKL-AERM, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Institute of Tibetan Plateau, and Center for Environment and Health, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China
NHC Key Laboratory of Male Reproduction and Genetics, Guangdong Provincial Reproductive Science Institute (Guangdong Provincial Fertility Hospital), Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510600, China
Central Laboratory of Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518055, China
School of Public Health, Shenzhen University Medical School, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518055, China
Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 511430, China
Department of Environment and Health, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210009, China
Organ Transplantation Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510080, China

1 Yuxin Bi and Ruijun Xu contributed equally to this work.

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Abstract

Compound heatwave and ozone pollution events threaten public health as warming and photochemistry intensify. Yet the internal architecture of these events—how heatwaves and ozone separately influence frequency versus intensity—remains poorly resolved at national scale. Here we show, using 1 km resolution grids across China from 2000 to 2023, that heatwaves dominate the frequency of compound extremes while ozone dominates their intensity, and that this asymmetry strengthened after 2016. Population exposure rose primarily because the events themselves intensified, rather than from population growth. City-level influencing factors proved highly heterogeneous, reflecting local combinations of meteorology, pollution and socioeconomic conditions. These findings uncover an asymmetric architecture of compound risk and identify distinct levers—heat versus ozone—for targeted mitigation under continued warming.

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Environmental Science and Ecotechnology

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Cite this article:
Bi Y, Xu R, Zheng Y, et al. Asymmetric intensification of heatwave-ozone compound extremes across China at 1 km resolution from 2000 to 2023. Environmental Science and Ecotechnology, 2026, 33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ese.2026.100761

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Received: 28 March 2026
Revised: 07 September 2026
Accepted: 08 September 2026
Published: 01 September 2026
© 2026 The Authors. Chinese Society for Environmental Sciences, Harbin Institute of Technology, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences.

This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).