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Prolonged Lifetime and Atypical Westward Propagation of Mesoscale Convective Systems in the Cold-Core Vicinity of the Northeast China Cold Vortex

State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather Meteorological Science and Technology (LaSW), Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081
Nanjing Innovation Institute for Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences–Jiangsu Meteorological Service, Nanjing 210019
Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Severe Storm Disaster Risk/CMA Key Laboratory of Transportation Meteorology, Nanjing 210019
Suzhou Meteorological Bureau of Jiangsu Province, Suzhou 215100
National Meteorological Centre, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081
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Abstract

The Northeast China Cold Vortex (NCCV), especially the horizontally uniform cold environment near the NCCV core, is a favorable background for the initiation of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), but prior research lacks analysis of the attributes of such MCSs. Based on Himawari-8 satellite infrared brightness temperature and NCCV positioning data, this study investigated and compared the characteristics of ordinary MCSs (Ord-MCSs) and MCSs accompanied by the NCCV (CV-MCSs) over Northeast China and its vicinity during April–September of 2018–2022. By using a bidirectional area-overlap algorithm, a total of 1707 Ord-MCSs and 229 CV-MCSs were identified, with the occurrence of both types of MCSs peaking from June to August. Key findings reveal that larger-scale MCSs exhibit extended lifecycle duration, enhanced convection and precipitation intensity, broader convection and precipitation areas, and a faster development rate. Moreover, compared with Ord-MCSs, CV-MCSs are active in environments with lower convective available potential energy (CAPE), lower 500-hPa temperature, and higher relative humidity throughout the mid-to-lower troposphere. Consequently, CV-MCSs have a smaller lifetime maximum convective core area but a larger lifetime maximum convective shield area and greater lifetime maximum precipitation coverage, together with notably longer life duration. Additionally, CV-MCSs show a stronger tendency to move westward, follow longer trajectories and attain higher average speeds than Ord-MCSs moving in the same direction. These results highlight that the cold, humid, and relatively stable environment near the NCCV core favors the development of extensive, long-lived, but not necessarily the most intensely convective MCSs, offering new insights for refining regional forecasts of convective system evolution under cold vortex conditions.

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Journal of Meteorological Research
Pages 749-765

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Cite this article:
CHANG Z, ZHUGE X, CHEN X, et al. Prolonged Lifetime and Atypical Westward Propagation of Mesoscale Convective Systems in the Cold-Core Vicinity of the Northeast China Cold Vortex. Journal of Meteorological Research, 2026, 40(3): 749-765. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-026-5220-8

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Received: 16 August 2025
Revised: 24 November 2025
Accepted: 09 January 2026
Published: 20 June 2026
© The Chinese Meteorological Society 2026