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Uncertainty is usually perceived as having negative effects on transportation systems, such as increasing operation cost, decreasing resource utility, and reducing customer satisfaction. However, it is unclear whether this perception is universally true or is true only under certain conditions. This research compares the performance of transportation systems with uncertain parameters with the performance of the same systems in which the uncertain parameters are replaced by their expectations. The analyses prove that uncertainty can have negative, negligible, and positive impact on the performance of transportation systems under different conditions.

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Publication history

Received: 24 November 2021
Revised: 24 November 2021
Accepted: 24 November 2021
Published: 11 December 2021
Issue date: December 2021

Copyright

© 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of Tsinghua University Press.

Rights and permissions

This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

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